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Will UK face future right-wing rebellion if Labour win election?

Jul 04, 2024
Maybe the Conservatives haven't moved much to the

right

, but what they have been successful at is that they have managed to push workers further to the

right

, which is all we've talked about so far in terms of the strangeness of British democracy. and what it yields is that it is storing up a right-

wing

rebellion

in the

future

, yes, I think so, I hope that as Kier actually said, you know, progressive, we have to make a different argument. I hope that's where we're going, that's where we need to go. o i fear for this country just in terms of the challenge to k, assuming he wins.
will uk face future right wing rebellion if labour win election
I think the biggest challenge he

will

have is the pressures within his own party and different ones. I mean, I can have the PL at your address. Hello, it's finally here after six. weeks of campaigning, we are hours away from voting at 10:00 on Thursday night, it

will

all be over according to this week's political forecast, has everything shown that British democracy is a little broken if the polls indicate that the right Labor is heading for a historic record? record majority but perhaps with one of its lowest vote shares despite tax promises voters believe they will pay more and are skeptical things will improve turnout expected to be historically low livb democrats heading to a lower vote share than reform but could get 20 times as many seats or more.
will uk face future right wing rebellion if labour win election

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will uk face future right wing rebellion if labour win election...

Are these just the realities of our system or are the warning lights on the dashboard of a democracy going down the wrong path looking across the water at France? and beyond Beyond we are potentially building up even more discontent and anger from people who might turn to the right next time with me to discuss all this and more Labor Bel Ribero Addy ex-Tory leveling up minister Deana Davidson and Mari Black Deanna from snp I mean, the warning light on the dashboard is going off, right? I think it depends on what warning light you are talking about.
will uk face future right wing rebellion if labour win election
I mean, if we're talking about the party's warning light, I think it's pretty clear, but the broader point about kind of attitudes toward democracy and discontent with politics I think is a real problem. I mean, there's no enthusiasm for politics, there's no enthusiasm for politicians, even those with some of the highest approval ratings are still negative, even among you. I mean, yeah, you know right before we went on air they were talking about what they were going to miss. in politics and the two that were leaving said the things that would not be lost, our secrets, if they said all this publicly, I am definitely true, and I mean, I also think it's indicative of why people are disconnected from politics , because when you have such an archaic voting system where you first pass the position and then you will find that there are many people in different constituencies who think that they can't vote for who they really want to vote for because they have no realistic chance of winning. so you're constantly voting for Worst or Least Worst option if that makes sense.
will uk face future right wing rebellion if labour win election
I wonder, although I'm sorry, B in terms of that discontent, if some of that just comes from exposure, I mean, if you look at the sort of approval ratings of confident politicians and politicians for decades back in the 6070s and 80s era decent being a politician was a vaguely respectable job people admired politicians to such an extent in recent years that politics appears in 247 news stories where the politicians are all on social media where, if you are even vaguely interested in politics, the algorithm tells you it gets in your

face

and on your phone screen constantly.
I wonder if overexposure is one of the reasons, well, I mean, you're the only person standing here, yeah, um. in this

election

, so you've had a different

election

than the rest of us because you've been out there doing the hard work, I mean, does any of this resonate with you in terms of how the campaign has felt? absolutely, I can't, I can't disagree with the fact that people are really disappointed in politicians. um, I'm disappointed in some of my colleagues. Some of the things that have come out in recent years have been horrible and obviously people are now.
I'm going to think we are because we're a small class of people, there's only 650 of us at a time and the number of different scandals you see really puts people off, but you also think there were probably others. Scandals in the '60s and '70s, but you didn't know about them because you couldn't find out about them, you know just by using your phone, so yeah, it's a completely different picture and it's really unpleasant for voters. How do you think this campaign has gone? Because you know, I mean, we've all portrayed it, to a greater or lesser degree, as kind of boring, really, you know, in that you know the workers came in with a massive advantage. and their main goal over the course of the campaign was to not lose control, so the strategy was to not say anything that would offend anyone anywhere, which basically means you don't say much and the Conservatives have something like that.
The conservatives have been pretty much the opposite, they've been increasingly desperate, you know, the kind of announcement today about the nightmare of waking up in a you know, at work. Britain is like the ultimate panic. um, none of this is very edifying, you know? It has been a long campaign, even for an early election. I don't know why it feels that way, maybe it's because of all the preparation for it, uh, since the beginning of the year. I've been thinking about when we're going to have it, when we're not going to have it. Everybody's been trying to plan for this, but yeah, I think I think people are because of their disappointment and because actually because of what the polls are saying, I think. the polls are really going to affect the way people go out and vote, people think it's for a conclusion so you don't need to bother, you don't need to bother, and that will lead to some shocking results, there are people. who are thinking, oh okay, Labor are going to win anyway, we'll be fine, we're just not going to bother or we'll vote for a smaller party and find out they might actually wake up to a Conservative MP and that's really En summary, you have to remember that in 2019 the Tor vote didn't actually increase considerably, the Labor vote went down and that's how the Tors got their majority, Mari.
I mean, you know all the expectations about this Thursday's turnout are not good, you know, low 60s. Maybe mid6 if we're lucky and you know, like B says, that could definitely lead to some amazing things happening and also if you take into account the mail-in votes, Fiasco, because I mean, of course, it's affecting everything the United Kingdom, but in particular Scotland. I mean, when Rashy called the election it was pointed out that it was right in the middle of the Scottish school holidays, so there are SES people who won't be able to vote because their postal vote didn't arrive in time and we're literally not in the country, for which will skew the votes even more.
I guess what I mean is that this whole mail-in ballot issue suddenly seems like it could be pretty big, a lot of people haven't gotten their mail-in ballots on time and they're thinking. about this realistically, I mean even if you post your vote today on Tuesday, it may not arrive in time, well the reality is if you get a mail-in vote now, it's not a mail-in vote, it says complete your ballot and hand it in. at your Council headquarters or at your polling station on Thursday and for a lot of people the point of postal votes is that they can't do that, of course, people have already left, of course, and that has taken away from them that opportunity, I mean, as Mari said, is affecting people across the board, but in particular seats, if this is in a very specific way, it could absolutely skew the result.
My real concern about all of this is that we're going to see challenges on Friday, um legal challenges, yeah, I mean, if in some seats it's going to be as close as we think people may have a legitimate reason to question what's happening, especially if there aren't enough mail-in votes going out and that worries me because we don't want another period of time where people don't really know who's running the country and they don't completely trust democracy again and they start to feel a little bit American, you know, in terms of kind of hanging Chads and you know, um, what's going to happen.
I mean, I guess the assumption is that the expected labor majority will be so compelling that none of it will really make a difference at the margins for individuals rather than the overall outcome, but that won't happen. This would be the case if turnout is low, so I think about what happened in 201. You really fear that all this about the Labor majority could be woven, you know that well, yes, it really makes people start to think in a way different, even when you think. I've been talking to people at the door, a lot of people think that's what it's going to be.
Many people's minds are not on the election even though they are being bombarded with things online. um, they don't care either. They're fed up or they think we're going to win, so they're going to vote for a smaller party or they haven't had their vote by mail and, you know, I think about how many people didn't vote in the last election, 15.5 million just didn't vote. They bothered to vote. I mean, how much do you think it's because they're not excited about what they're hearing from Kia Starma? That could be something. You know, I wouldn't say that. obviously as someone running in this election, um, but, but people are really upset with politics in general and you know another thing that I've noticed in terms of a trend even though we're not the governing party and we haven't It's been for 14 years because everyone thinks we're going to win everywhere we go, people are complaining to you, like we're already in government, which is really horrible, wait until Friday, if that's the case now, Yeah.
I mean, well, I mean it's actually quite an interesting thing, isn't there some kind of level of anger? I guess that's my starting point, it really is so high that it's not going to go away just because there's been a change in attitude. government and that has been, I think the assumption of many workers who say that yes, the change is us, you know, yes, the change of personnel is enough of a change for it to feel like a change, Mari, that that will not be the case with fear. It seems like I'm just going to give you a brief comment on SMP, but the truth is that for a lot of people I think they're going to have a pretty rude awakening or at best a disappointment, because for a lot of people this I feel like if we can assuming that Labor will win the election, it will feel like a changing of the guard rather than a change and that's it because there are so many things that, as you said at the beginning, you don't touch with a barge pole because you don't want to bother anyone or not. they want to offend, so the scale of change that people expect, I think we're already in the area of ​​ER, you know, managing the expectations of, I guess, the other.
The way to think about this, Diana, is that the expectations for change are so low that you know that a small change could go a long way for a new government. Don't know. I think expectations for change may be low, but I hope something happens. The change feels very high and so my kind of concern for the work, if I may have one coming from the other side, is that in looking at the kind of um ambition of the manifesto, the ambition of the things where change is sought, it is felt. quite small scale, it doesn't feel like I'm sweeping Tony Blair, we're going to reform absolutely everything and I think there's so many to go back to your original analogy, um, there, Krishna, and so on, when he like flashing lights on the dashboard control I think there's going to be a lot of sort of management rather than ambitious change of fundamental scale and I think that's the challenge for K st over the next five years, you know?
I think, to be honest, the concern is largely about expectations. things that have fallen apart over the last 14 years, we just can't fix them overnight and I think the concern was probably that if we came out and said we could, people wouldn't believe us and then obviously the conservatives would say from the beginning On the other hand, of course, they couldn't do this in this period of time, so there's definitely been a lot of caution, but I'm more hopeful, but I'm worried because people always expect more from Labor governments, the average person expects more from the Labor government, unfortunately.
They don't seem to expect as much from conservatives. I've always seen that they don't necessarily get criticized as much when they do certain things because they think well. Conservatives are hard workers, but when it comes to work, they are often very tough. them and I worry that if we can't do certain things quickly people will get angry very quickly you can work with us you can tell us okay this is great this is a great honest conversation but you can still be I worry So I think a lot of the messages have been about managing those expectations, but I'm hoping that maybe the fact that we haven't presented as much is about managing theexpectations and not because we are not going to change everything, I mean.
In terms of disappointed expectations, both Di and Mari, I mean, you probably have some experience here and I mean you know, if you think about the expectations of 2019, they were high, I mean, you must have thought that things were going to turn out well . much better that they did completely well. I mean, you get elected on a wave of a really good majority with one party and a lot of new entrants who are quite young, quite dynamic. Quite different, it's a very different demographic for a regular kind of touring MP and I say having been cast as a 26-year-old northern woman, which isn't exactly the kind of norm, and then it's on you. you're learning, you know, Finding Your Feet, you get your office, you get your team in place and then everything comes to a complete stop because of the pandemic and that's not to say that all the challenges we

face

d were because of the pandemic, but I think that that put the breaks in everything so quickly that the momentum in some of those areas makes me level up clearly a huge type of passion everything took a backseat because the immediacy of dealing with this terrible challenge overtook everything as it would for any government and I think from that moment on everything was skewed and that optimism completely collapsed, I really don't want to sound too pessimistic at this point, but it's true, but Mari continues with kind of frustrated expectations, you know, if you think in 2015. um and S&P's extraordinary result of almost eliminating all the other opponents winning almost every seat in Scotland um and then and then you know the collapse is something like you know it's at what point does the expectation like that arise? of a massive victory just starts to fizzle out, well, from the SNP's point of view, I definitely think I guess the SNP's kind of decline has been self-inflicted as opposed to external factors, um, you know, you think.
Of all the bumpy roads the party has been down, everyone knows it on our own, so I think that's what the SMP will have to take into account after this election, finding out what the result is of course . but I think there's going to be a real period of reflection which is definitely good. You know, in 2015 I don't believe in safe seating and I'm very worried about complacency because all those seats were presumably safe seats for workers and there's a tradition. in Parliament, if you have a safe seat, when you clean your office, you don't actually clean your office, you put everything in the cupboards so they can clean the tables and change the carpet if necessary and if you don't have a safe seat, you actually you take all your stuff to save yourself the embarrassment of taking it all out next week we watched our colleagues keep an eye on things because we thought that was it, we don't take communities for granted, there are no safe seats, no.
I think you can stay home um and things will be fine in the elections. I wonder about that b too, going back to 15. I mean, the exit poll and the final result was a surprise. I remember having a very tough campaign in 15 and that was a big part of it. attributed to this type of silent conservatives where people wouldn't necessarily want to admit to their friends or at a dinner party or in the pub that they were going to vote Conservative, but ultimately when they went to the polling station and put their cross in the ballot box .
They secretly knew all along that that was what they were going to do and there have been people who have said that might be the case this time. I mean, I hope it is to a large extent, but I'm not sure how. widespread that will be compared to 2015, well it depends on where the cross goes, doesn't it from your point of view? I mean, if you think about this week, we've seen a huge advance for the far right in France. I've seen a big political boost for Donald Trump with his Supreme Court victory, basically saying that most of what a president does in terms of official behavior is now immune from prosecution, you can do whatever you want, so you know .
I guess the question is twofold, you know? Is there that kind of two to zero for the population this week? Yes, there is a third target that could be in Britain? And if not this week, then is it right around the corner? Oh, I think it's already here, frankly, I think we've been seeing Britain being dragged to the right, um slowly, at least for the last decade and because, as I've said, I don't think there's much difference or not enough difference between Labor and the Conservatives in minute, but then when you take into account people like Nigel Farage and reform, where we now have a Conservative party that is chasing reformist votes and you see bolder rhetoric, much more extravagant and frankly worrying, so that's not a path that I think I know Britain should be on I and then when you take into account that this will also be the first election where you have to have some kind of identity to be able to vote, we're just raising barriers between left, right and center to support what I What I'm saying is that everything we've talked about so far in terms of what's strange about British democracy and what it throws up is that it's building up a right-

wing

rebellion

in the

future

.
Yes I think so. I think so, because part of my belief is that right-wing fascism begins to flourish when public services are on their knees, when people feel disenfranchised, when people are angry with the state of the country, with the state of their own lives, and that's where populists can come in and whisper. H false promises in the ears of a lot of vulnerable people and I think we're seeing that happen and the media helped them quite a bit and I think it's really horrible to think that even in this election we don't have enough checks and balances. about the kind of information that people are publishing, I think about what we have heard as a result of the reform campaign, surely that is something that the electoral commission should do something about, we have freedom of expression and you know we have democracy, etc. ., you already know this. this activist who's been going around apparently saying really horrible things at the door, different things like that, but in general I think in general there should be a little more attention to what the campaigns say, not to police them too much, but just to do We are sure that we are complying with the law, our freedom of expression is not exempt from some type of responsibility and you cannot just go around spouting opinions that are hateful and intolerant.
The thing is, although Bella, I think that with a little more anti- The establishment parties, which I think have been reformed and others in the past, I think that a kind of rebuke from an establishment body like the Electoral Commission would probably only encourage supporters to get even more mandates and also to remember that this is the official position of the reform is that these are abhorrent views that they do not hold and that distance themselves from the canvas that Channel 4 News filmed, but you're both able to say that's not Christian, can I get back to that point about the kind of rise of far-right populism compared to France in particular?
I think there is a very interesting difference and I say this as a kind of young center right. um Voice or whatever, in France the right really seems to have taken hold among young people, particularly among younger men, but among all young voters in a way that in Britain that just hasn't happened now there's a slight increase both here like in the right wing young men states and that's kind of trending in that direction but for women that's not happening at all younger women are actually becoming more left wing so I'll be interested to see in First of all what are the reasons for this.
There are more polls coming out, but I think if that kind of success we are seeing in France, if you can call it success, could be replicated, seeing Nigel Farage with his arm around Andrew Tate is enough to deter To anybody. but I think there's something to what you're saying about young men and young men recognizing Nigel Farage, I mean purely in terms of facial recognition and his politics, um and obviously FR is very big on Tik Tok, yeah, it's winning a strong Tik Tok and that's obviously a significant thing, but B, I mean, Kia Starma said in response to the French victory, you know that Le the lesson of the French first round elections is that progressives have to show that only they They have the answers to the everyday concerns of ordinary people. including things like immigration, all because then you leave room, of course, well, but isn't that precisely what he hasn't done over the course of this election?
Some people would like some people to say they disagree. I wish, maybe we could have gone. Later on some things, but again I go back to that point or I go back to the points that have been made about, you know, the views of the right and how the media is portraying them well, which makes it very difficult to maintain that space within a campaign when people are actively pushing things to the right when people start talking about immigrants um in the way that they have for the last few years, obviously they have for years and years, but has really been put front and center with the Rwanda bill that took up so much parliamentary time making it seem like migrants are to blame, that's the main story, trying to downplay it or move away from it, telling the truth In this regard it has been very, very difficult.
I wish more had been done to make that point clear that in reality immigrants in this country are not the reason for a number of problems we have, those are all political decisions that have been made by the current government, well yes I want I mean, I mean, it's Isn't it true that the Conservative party has been pushing a lot of these agendas for a number of years and that's been part of the success of the red wall for your party and there's been this kind of assumption that you have to address the same ones. issues that the Brexit party and the Reform Party now and Nigel Farage and also the far right.
I mean there's a point at which you know you have to look at the importance of the issues in particular communities that you hope to address. win and we know that in some of the Red War communities immigration is a hotter issue than in other parts of the country, so I think it is right that any party that hopes to win them has a strong and clear message about it, but I think I don't agree with you two on the kind of narrative that there has been some kind of shift to the right because when you look at the narrative around migration, if you look at it in the context of the last few years of 2025, I don't think so. actually it's changed a lot, it's drifted a little bit, but if you look at the conservative party, I mean I think it was you Mari who mentioned that conservative parties are moving to the right, you look at the conservative party back in the '90s and early 0's and it was pretty much the same narrative so I don't think there was this kind of big change and also some of it was worse.
I mean, you had the Monday club and all that and you put millions of pounds into a plan that everyone knows isn't going to work and all those hours of parliamentary time that wasn't the sort of thing that was happening years ago. , but similarly, that is because pressure on numbers and small boat crossings was not an issue. years ago in the same way, but I think the point is that when you talk about a shift to the right, you do it in terms of a very limited number of issues, but in reality that is what many long-term conservatives would say is that when you look more broadly at public services approaches to taxation, the party hasn't really moved much further towards the centre, so I think it's a moot point, I think, but what's interesting. think about what the conservative party has done and seems not to have learned the lesson of history is that when you flirt with an idea to your right it leads you astray, you know that's what happened with David Cameron and Brexit and it seems that's what's happening, oh, I think we've reacted, I think we've reacted, and I think the pull to the right comes perhaps from the conservatives not having moved as much toward the certain, but where they've been successful is that they've managed to attract workers to the right because, going back to what you were saying about K Starmer's comment about progressives having to prove they have the answer, it seems very hypocritical to me because I can look at K Starmer's Twitter feed from a few years ago and promised everything the son said everything he had to say to attract all the Corbin supporters to attract all the people on the left to support him, but the moment he got there, he started abandoning them one by one, you understand, it talks about child poverty but refuses to reverse the rape clause which in itself is a huge obligation of duty, so I think that's where the push to the right has come if you're really on the left. vote, probablyyou're going to vote Labor because you'd rather see that than the Conservatives, but there's no real asset, some people aren't going to do that, especially because of the polls I said before, some people aren't going to do that.
That's because they think it's a done deal anyway and they'd rather vote somewhere else, but I think that by doing that we could still end up with some seats that are going to be a big shock to people and that worries me and you know, I The shift to the right in politics in general is worrying. Obviously you may know where I stand in my party, not generally, and you think you know that the center of British politics has shifted to yes, but that has happened. All over the world, all over the continent, all over the United States, because there have been major problems in our society, everyone has chosen to turn to the right and part of that.
The shift to the right has been migration because many conservatives say that if you look at how much money the government is spending and the number of things the government is intervening in, that can't be right, you know, if we have the highest tax. burdens that you know in 70 years, but you know what they are spending money on. So many of our public services have been privatized, so you know we're spending money that they're subsidizing companies that have also delivered these services. when they keep screwing up, you know we have to keep paying more and more when I think about all the contracts during the pandemic, we are paying more for public services than we would if they were, but this is a government that has fundamentally accepted. the idea that the government intervenes in poverty and it is not a government that fights, so it is a shift to the right, isn't it funny how they only intervene when things are so bad when we can't drink our drinking water or the trains are completely in disrepair and you know the private companies refused to put their hands in their own pockets to deal with the service they had to handle with PID, yes, but there is a reason we implemented, you know, an education really extensive. reforms from 2010 onwards that now make primary schools perform better than they have in decades, the ceilings are falling, but what I mean is that this is not not intervening at the last second, but rather it is taking a Really long-term approach. that people criticized at the time, but that has actually reaped rewards, which is what the Labor government will have to do if it wants to create the rate of change at its knees, in terms of finding enough funding, for teachers, even for the things you heard from people complaining about buying glue sticks.
I am trying not to contact ComEd. That's not all I would say on that point. You talked about privatization, but many of the PFI contracts for schools were signed during the last Labor government. the conservatives were trapped in that contact. I don't agree with them, yes, I will say no, let's go back to the question of the right and the kind of potential shift to the right, because the question This will, would a Labor government in power have basically the same problem and the same approach to the right that conservatives have, in terms of, you know, recognizing the problem, pandering to it a little bit, and saying yes?
They are real problems we have to listen to people or they would say no they are not really the problems we should be talking about do you know they will have absolutely the same problem? you're right, they'll have the same problem since that's where it will seem easier to go, but I hope that, as Kier actually said, you know progressives, we have to make a different argument. I hope that's where we're going, that's where we have to go or I'm afraid of this. country, I mean, he said it and I hope that's what he sticks to, but absolutely the same problem, we just need a different solution, but what was implied, I thought in his response, was that you also have to recognize that complaints that the writer are real, you know these are concerns of everyday people rather than concerns that maybe have been disproportionately amplified, you know, all those guys, he's taking his turf and what people say when I think about how people talks about migration or what it has been like.
Over the last few years they always talk about it in the context of services. There are too many immigrants on the NHS list. There are too many immigrants who cannot find housing. Many immigrants who cannot find work. And it's always in the context that there are Obviously some fans who say there are too many immigrants, I don't like how they look, they are actually a smaller number than those who talk about the respective services, so they really show people that it is not immigrants who are taking away their public services. it's a previous spending decision but that's where, for me, I certainly think Labor is failing or k Starmer is failing because you're absolutely right, the conversation about immigration moves very quickly to public services and what we need it to do.
K Armer is standing his ground. Stand up and say, "Look, the reason you can't get a house is not because of the person who is fleeing a war scenario, but because your government hasn't built enough houses and the reason you can't get one." appointment with the NHS is". t Because You Know The Immigrant has come to make a better life for themselves, it is because the government has not invested adequately while he does not say that and as Kristen says he is turning himself in and that is almost tacitly accepting the premise of that immigration is a problem, Dan. you know what you think of that um just in terms of the challenge for K Arma assuming he wins um it's not exactly that we keep saying it like it's inevitable, which it probably is um it's going to be fascinating, but I think the biggest challenge he has actually it's not necessarily the right because if the polls are to be believed it will be this kind of supermajority, whatever that means in tangible terms, it's not a word, stop using it, people use it, I'm deleting L , that's not what I Generally, if you get a fairly large historic Labor majority, I think the biggest challenge you'll have is the pressures within your own party and different, I mean, I can look in your direction, no, I think , but I think.
I think that's the case when there's no big threatening opposition of the considerable nature that and we've seen that in the Conservative party in recent years, so I hope, for your sake, that that doesn't happen again, you think that will happen. You know, because you're going to have, you know, you could potentially have over a hundred, you know, 200, even, um, MPS who are not on the payroll, who don't have ministerial jobs, who you know and who maybe don't have many hopes to have one. or there, so I wasn't talking about you, I was, but I mean, you know, um, you could offer that um, but those who have nothing, you know they have, who have no reason to be blindly loyal and more reasons to say, well, I'm going.
To speak my mind, well, I think that is party democracy and I would say that we are a democratic party. I mean, one thing I would say: Let's see how long it takes us to have our leadership contest for a while. Someone complained about how long. It's from another side, my goodness, it takes a long time because we are consulting absolutely everyone and, although it may not always end up the way people want, at the end of the day, we have to take people's opinions into account. if there are people in the party who stand for something different, I think that's fair enough, we are a broad Church, the Tores are a broad Church, S&P don't always agree on everything, just talking about leadership elections, I mean, don't ask . just give us a minute on what's going to happen with the T Le can you tell us I'm not making a bet?
I promise I wish I wanted to know I wish I knew how to make a bet um obviously we need to see what happens And nothing is a foregone conclusion, but now, daring, at this moment he says that he would like to remain as a deputy and as a leader, something that can be taken away from him. hands. However, I don't want to say this and sound too terribly pessimistic. How many realistic parliamentarians will remain within the conservative type of 922? I know this worries me and I suppose the question is who is left and not just in terms of numbers but what is the demographic of the Conservative MPs who are left because if you look at the so-called safer seats, I was worried about a shift towards right after the elections and the leadership contenders who talk more about a turn to the right, but when we actually look at the first hurdle, which is overcoming the conservative party in Parliament and the conservative MPS, I think it is a lot more centrist, which makes me think that maybe someone who looks more like a penny or a Tom Tugan hat would certainly make it to the runoff and I would probably prefer that to someone who spouts a little more rhetoric and the odds are O.D.
I was looking the other week, I've actually worked in betting before so this isn't a recent thing for me. I'm always attentive. in the bookies odds it's looking interesting, i think ky is the current favorite across the board, that's interesting, omg that's right on that, on that bomb, let's look ahead to thursday night, After the polls close, we might all think we know what the main result is. there are going to be, but there are plenty of potential surprises along the way, so what should we be on the lookout for Mari? What's on your mind Thursday night and Friday morning?
Scotland obviously not only for personal reasons, but I also think because that's the race is very open, yes. I don't think anyone can predict what's actually going to happen in Scotland because there are so many seats that are on a knife edge and when you take into account voter turnout and anything that might happen in the next two days. I think it's too hard to guess. IT Clacton obviously has his eyes on Clone to see if Nigel is successful in his seventh attempt to reach Parliament. I think it will be really interesting. Eh, of course, there is something to suggest that quite a few in the cabinet are. at risk I will keep an eye on that, but I wouldn't say it's a surprise because I think our expectations are very low, but I think outside of that there are two that I will keep an eye on and one is to see. how Jeremy Corbin is doing in his bond and if he will be successful with his own kind of independent voice and the second is what happens to Thanam Deire with that green menace because she could very well be the only loss or the big loss while there is progress made in other parts of the country and I think for her on a personal level that would be devastating.
Bill, I'm worried about a lot of surprising results again because what the polls keep saying I'm also worried about the challenges. and in fact, the whole election administration with the boundaries changing things in different congressional districts, it's all been a little complicated, mail-in votes, um, I'm just worried that a lot of them are going to be very, very close, so which could well be prolonged. Yes, and I would absolutely hate it, so I hope we have three days to get it right. I hope all people get their votes by mail. I hope there are not too many challenges and obviously I hope we win as many seats. as much as possible, so you may not be able to go off air at 9:00 a.m. m.
Friday morning, is that what you're basically saying is that we're up in the air forever. 2017, how long was it before we knew who it was going to be? in charge yes yes well thank you very much everyone really that is the political forecast for this week the last one before election day until the new world goodbye

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