Britain Elects | The Morning After The 2024 Local Elections

live Hello good

morning

welcome to May 3, the day after the

morning

after the first change of results in the

2024

local

elections

, my name is Ben Walker, I am the co-founder of Great Britain, Alex and journalist of data. with the new Statesman and I'm very tired, so to be honest, I'm doing a broadcast now, so from my point of view I'll tell you what happened, what you know, analyze some key results, tell you what to watch. I leave for later in the day and then also right after this I'm going to go to bed and I can't wait, but anyway look, about a quarter of the council seats that were available yesterday are already in uh , I've been I was able to process almost all of them and I was able to put them on the map that I've been announcing all night on the Britain Al feed which you can find on sn. newstat uh, which you know has the district map, you can see it on your phone or your desktop, you can see each district that is up for election, how they voted, you'll notice it when you click on the map, although it's terribly there's a lot of rural England, well I'm not sorry, we've got a lot of urban England in play, a lot of rural England too, but they're not there yet, they're going to be counting for much of today and, indeed, tomorrow.

Anyway, we had a quarter of the results and the general impression is that not much has changed, which is why we had a big super Thursday last year, on May 4, in which around 8,000 Council seats are available and just to reiterate. This time there are 2,700, so in terms of what you know, when you look at the changes in Raw, just keep in mind, okay, you have 2,700 in play this year, it was 8,000 last year, it was a great measure of public opinion in England back then, uh, is a little more limited now, the general impression is based on a quarter of the results we've had so far and not much has changed, uh, what happened in May last year, when the Labor were almost between 15 and 20 points ahead.

It's pretty much the same now, except it looks like Labor's lead is a little bigger. What we've seen over the course of tonight is that in some areas, La is doing a little better than last year. So for example, Grimsby in North Lincolnshire, last year the workers made very little progress, this year they almost swept the board in the town seats that work for grabs, elsewhere too. You've got Labor making serious progress taking control of Harley again. Paol and then you also know that in certain affluent middle class parts of the south of England you see that Labor made some amazing progress last year, it was in a council area called Brachel Forest that Labor took completely by surprise this year, um, a place called Rushmore. which has a strong military tradition, traditionally the conservative military tradition has changed Labour, you know, it was a switch straight to the lab, uh, would you call it a shock?

I would say it was one of those results that, um, yeah, took me by surprise as well. at the same time, workers win handily in more traditional battlegrounds like Reddit and Plymouth, uh, Plymouth, labor workers, you know, they started the night with one or two seats, they ended up sweeping the border almost um, in Portsmouth, you started the night with the conservatives they had about half the seats and then ended the night with just one. You started the night in Lincoln with the Conservatives having about half the seats and then they ended up with one too.

What we are seeing is a similar result to what we saw. last year, but a little worse because Labour's lead in the national polls is now not 15 to 20 points like last year, but rather 20 points or 20 points, not We really know, I don't think we can say. for sure yet, but it seems like that's what we're seeing on the

local

election battlefield, so I'm just going to walk you through some of the, what could I say, some of the results as we have them and I just want to tell you about some of them, so first of all remind you that all of England and Wales have the right to vote for something.

Alright. We're just looking at council seats here. All of England and Wales are close by. a big vote for the marital police and the crime commissioner or a combination of the two or even a combination of the three with the results of the council, okay, we are only looking at the Council here and what happened is that while some of you guys were fast asleep, we were I didn't get results right away because there were three ballots to pass, which was a little annoying for the counting staff because they had more work to do. God bless you, so yes, things took a little longer.

We start to have Sunderland very soon and you will notice that these are the results, by the way, these are the results that we have, not the previous results, not how they voted four or three years ago, but how they voted yesterday and we will just start. with Sunderland and although you see a lot of blue, you see a decline in the Conservative turnout, you know, take this ward here on the outskirts of Sunderland, you have the Conservatives winning with 46%, but then they lose 11 points, take another one like like here henden Ward who was libm three years ago but since returning to work by the slimmest of margins look at that job 40% against Democrats livb 39 um one I want to pay attention to I think it's actually this one also. of the wards where the seats that Labor gained from the Conservatives was a ward where the Labor vote didn't really move, in fact, you know, in terms of percentage points it went down, it went, it went back, but the toy vote fell. 14 points that gave the seat to the workers and who saw the big reform, who was the biggest beneficiary, picked up 14 points here in Sunderland, what we saw in Sunderland, which by the way, I would need to emphasize for those of you who want to let them know. the analysis on the ground, um, we saw that decent reform shares decent support for reform, but from the seats that we've had elsewhere, it hasn't really been replicated, note that we don't have all the results, just we have a quarter of the results, but the disproportionate performance of the reform in Sunderland, you know, you just have to take it into account anyway, another result I wanted to show, look, look at this, St anwood, another Tory job gain and if you look at the horizontal bar you can see that almost half of the conservative vote or half of the conservative vote turns to reform and I think you have it somewhere else.

Check this one out too. I hope that another seat will be obtained thanks to the profit obtained by the workers and you. I see reform coming in a very clear second place, the Conservatives lose 35 points, reform rises 26, Labor rises 10 and, yes, you know Tor is falling to third place in a seat they once represented, it's something Quite, I would say, quite unique, so Sunderland. We saw progress on decent work, great progress on reforms, but no seats for reform and, by the way, we have not seen that anywhere else. So pretty in terms of reform performance, pretty isolated in terms of coming in second in terms of getting you know around 30 something for every vote. in some of the seats now you're looking here in the IDE and well, no, it's just like that, isn't it? and um, you'll notice it's not as red as it used to be and here we have South IDE, which is South Shields. and jro and what happened throughout was a whole wave of independent candidates, uh, sweeping the Labor seat, look at this, look at that, you know a long history of Labor voting and yet you have the independents coming out out of nowhere to pick up. 42% for Labor 38 another seat here west, just closer to the center of fishing closer to the center of South Shields, you know, the independent candidate got 61% of the vote, up 32 points and Labor fell 15 and you'll also notice the big big spots of green um the greens have a presence in ide but they're growing look at this uh the greens got 70% of the votes in this district yeah it's all low turnout but you shouldn't do that caveat anyway, um, The Greens got 70% of the vote here compared to Labour's 30%, which by the way is a 20 point drop.

Note the absence of a conservative candidate here who was once going around wondering what that is, uh 15 20% I guess so, what happened? in South tinside um, you could read it in multiple ways, you might be tempted to read it as a precursor to Jamie Driscoll, the independent candidate for mayor of the northeast. I don't think it's particularly fair, there are some quite local factors here in terms of a binman strike which I think turned a lot of people against the sitting councillors. I can understand that we saw something similar for the Labor party in Sheffield and we still see active now, we still see something similar for the Conservatives.

Councilors in Plymouth who were completely criticized by the electorate mainly for felling such small trees. Council scandals can sometimes really turn public opinion upside down as it has on the south side of Titin, however the fact that there are Green candidates winning in traditional Labor areas takes hold and keeps things nice by themselves is something we are starting to see more and more. As you go forward in time you see in parts of Newcastle, proper job gains here, motorcyclist Ward for example, look at that. Green came completely out of nowhere to take the seat from the Labor Party uh 57% of the Labor party own 36 um and here's one perhaps more telling.

I think Elswick Ward um, this goes without saying, he's very Muslim, he's very Asian. part of Newcastle probably I think is the only predominantly Asian Muslim part of the North East and you see a green game um 45% to labor 41 can we attribute that to Gaza? Can we attribute that to Israel and Palestine? I think it can be said with some confidence, it had a role to play, yes you absolutely can, but to what extent you really don't know, do you? I haven't been there, I haven't talked to the people there, I'm not going to pretend I know. for sure, all I can do is project, but nevertheless, overall, the workers had a pretty good night in the northeast.

They gained new Council seats from the Conservatives in Sunderland, but that was offset by being badly battered on the south side. and losing some support in Newcastle, however, they held firm in some respects. I don't remember where they picked up a protection from the livb democrats here in West gosi, so yeah, that's a northeast VI and by the way, uh. Needless to say, well, it tells you part of the story, but it doesn't tell you the whole story. When you looked at Sunderland, saw the considerable pro-reform votes, you might think, ah, well, here we go, there's the division on the right. all we have to do is join right and everything will be fine, no so let's go to Grimsby and at the beginning of the night when I did my briefing around 10 p.m. m., I said search and job needs. to show that you have made progress.

He's made progress in Grimsby because he didn't last year and look at what's happened this year, he's seeing some pretty considerable job gains. Not the most impressive increases in the Labor vote, but he doesn't win anyway. this one too Croft Bakerer Ward labor vote here most impressive 28 percentage points Tor down 16 another Ward Scara Ward here work up 20 points tor's down 18 um sou W tag up 24 points maybe I'm taking this back maybe the vote increase is impressive Tor ha down 15 and note the absence of a reformist candidate. Note how you know that with a reform candidate the conservative vote is collapsing without a reform candidate the T vote is also collapsing so if you are trying to do a simple reform analysis, well, don't CU No I think you're going to be particularly precise there, but yes, some very impressive gains by Labor in Grimsby didn't sweep the board, but I think they did enough to say they're in contention to win back the seat. uh we're also seeing the same thing in Lincoln, a lot of these seats were um uh, we were voting conservative, take this land anymore.

Ward, small increases in the Labor vote there, much bigger ones here in the Hearts house, um H, that was a job, keep another one, though that. It was a Labor gain, uh, there was a risk here tonight that the Conservatives would be wiped out in Lincoln. I think they had four to five seats up for grabs and they ended up with only one, which is this, the inner pavilion that they occupied. by I think only 15 votes uh in the local

elections

, never say that your vote doesn't count because it absolutely does, but yes, Lincoln almost annihilated the conservatives Peter BR Peter BR I find it very interesting ignoring, of course, the uh How could you describe it?

The Batman form of local authority is very dark, gray here and what it is is an independent grouping not to be confused, of course, with uh uh change UK, but independent local groupings seembe conservative branches. uh breaking away from the permanent Conservative party candidates in their own right, winning a large share of the vote and keeping many of their seats, it seems as if that weakens the Labor party in certain seats, although you know you see a Labor gain. here in the East Ward, but only with a negligible increase in vote share. The Liberals are seen gaining one seat over the Conservatives with a considerable increase in their own proportion, but in this district you see the independent group coming out of nowhere. to take a big chunk of the conservative vote and win the seat themselves, peterb is a mixed bag to be honest with you, but the collapse of conservative turnout, the collapse and support for the conservatives warrants a comment, also note the growing appearance of the greens here, huh. they won a ward in central peterb uh in ravens forp um look they voted for labor in 2018 and 19, but the greens won it this year, that's very interesting what's happening there, what's happening with the labor campaign there , why hasn't it taken off and you notice another green gain here in a seat where Labor came second and Labor won again in 2019.

I ask what is happening with labor in peterb but there are other seats, other diggers, other more, other marginal ones that show that you know performance has improved a lot for uh the labor redit is one of those cases, new limits, so we don't really know how these seats all used to vote. What I've done is be able to guess your idea of ​​how the district probably voted and long story short all of these seats at the beginning of the night were blue now all but two of them these two are red redit has seen a dramatic change since the Conservatives to Labour, particularly in the city proper, it is really only on the outskirts that the Conservatives have held on, which is not good for their parliamentary electorate prospects come the general election.

Another seat to watch is the one I mentioned in the previous Rushmore briefing. now, this has, you can see it there, Sandhurst, this has its military history and just look at all this, some very dramatic job changes. work up 16 points here work up 14 points here uh tor's down 20 labor up 23 points here tor's down 16 look In that one too, labor increased by 54%, 38 points more than in 2021, when they were in third place, there There, needless to say, this is something dramatic, is it unexpected? Did you ever imagine that labor would be in dispute in the alert store? I never thought about it, uh, looks like we have to prepare for that potential now, another Ward result, work up to 20 points, Tor is down 16, so, in certain laab fights in more than enough laab fights where there is no group of spoilers, um job. is almost a landslide, let's also visit the site where the UK almost won its second sl3d parliamentary seat in the 2015 general election.

Remember it was a three-way split between 30% Conservative, 30% Labor and 29% of you. Kip ukip almost took this seat now, looks like Labor have come out on top big time in some pretty straight lab fights, pretty big swings, the only seat the Tories were able to hold on to was the AET rural seat um and you. saw some independent candidates taking uh the outskirts of uh thork proper uh from the conservatives there yeah, quite a bit of that that other seat uh another borrowing another council area whatever we want to call them uh that almost saw the conservatives wiped out was Portsmouth, look at it all this again, although it was an independent group that scored big here, look at this, they are called the Portsmouth independent party and they came out of nowhere in this district to win 40% of the vote to the detriment of the conservative party and take away the seat to the conservatives, take this one also look at that 55% of nothing for the Portsmouth Independent party, the only seat the conservatives were able to keep was not on Portsmouth island but on the mainland which is Drayton and farlington just for true by the skin of your teeth 38% for independent groups 35 not exactly a vote of confidence is uh where else can we look exitor exitor uh one thing we're starting to notice again, I think?

I mentioned it before because it's the growth of the invasion, whatever you want to call it, the growth of green support, it's traditionally the work in urban work, in metrosexual work, whatever you want to call it, you know, the kind of work in a city that it's a little more um um how could I say you know you're richer? I guess compared to your traditional labor seat, you're seeing the greens flex their arms there a little bit more and you're seeing that you know despite some major labor gains nationally. in the marginals that matter in the Battleground seats that matter in many of the safer seats, these voters seem quite happy to please the greens and we see that here in exitor, we see the growth in support for the greens, not just in its most university neighborhood. but in the neighboring district as well, however, you also see the work moving substantially into conservative territory here, so now here's the one that's a little bit more dramatic Plymouth.

I wish I could show you the result, uh before, I wonder if I really can, if we just go. up to here, let's see what the results looked like, okay, let's go down here, let's go full screen, yeah, so just a reminder, this is what we have to complete later today, there's a ton of stuff. There are more results to come, but note of course that not all of England will have municipal elections, but anyway, this is what Plymouth looked like before last night and this is how there is now a dramatic dramatic swing towards the Labor Party. voted like this at the close of the vote and like this at the close of the count a conservative seat reduced from the overwhelming majority I am not going to try to count and the greens will again be able to get support elect seats, not all, not always in their traditional laboratory fights of scams, when voters apparently don't feel like they're at risk of letting conservatives in, maybe they're more willing to go green, but I say all this, but you do notice.

In this seat it doesn't seem like the Greens have gained support from workers, rather it seems like they have been eating into the Conservatives' share, so something to consider about the Greens is that they are not just a threat to workers. party, they are also a threat to the conservatives in a completely different way: you know, the Cameroonian-type environmental conservatives see a lot in the Greens and maybe don't associate them with being as left-wing as you might know a traditional party. However, the left commentator would say that in many of the direct fights it was quite clear that it was carried out by the workers, look at that work up uh 19 points or down 36 points and also, although of course the reform is not working as well like in uh Sunderland, reform is electing a 14% rise here, a 10% rise there even though the Tores fell, 17 points, another seat, Labour, a 13 point rise and reform beating the conservative, second here, but at a fairly distant, 20% of the vote, so yes, a dramatic dramatic change. in Plymouth, for the Labor Party, to the benefit of the Labor Party, to the detriment of the Conservatives, which the BBC quite rightly emphasized, was one of the tasks that the council lost in taking control of the new boundaries, the new boundaries of the districts. so all the seats were up for grabs and Labor just missed out, although you'll notice.

I think if you add up all the votes, I don't want to say that unless I'm sure, but if you add up all of them. the votes, uh, how did it happen? Yes, how did it happen? How did it turn out? It was 8,000 votes for the Conservatives in Harow and 7,500 for Labor in Harow, so although Labor were just one seat away from having a majority, they were 500 votes away. beating the Conservatives first so yes Borah Harow is quite divided and when we get to the general election it's always worth bearing in mind that Harow's constituency is larger than Harow council so Labor has a lot more work to do there, um IP switch iwi. ipswitch another case where the conservatives saw their vote reduced substantially but the changes were not as dramatic as in Plymouth uh look at this Labor 44% minus one percentage point they practically stayed still but the conservatives fell to 30% falling 25 percentage points why , because you saw that the votes went elsewhere, you saw 15% 15 uh% for reform, 6% for the Greens and 5% for the Lib Dems, but Labor stayed put, quite quite, which shows that, but yes, the presence of La Reforma is now being felt on the electoral battlefield.

You saw it in Blackpool South by election, but in terms of getting closer to winning seats, no, they don't look like they're there and I don't know if we will. Uh, they have seats in the course of tomorrow where they will get gold, actually, maybe they will do it in the Rother Valley in some parts of South York, but, but, the Jews are out of that, but their presence is is feeling, their wins are still at zero though, but yeah, good night and IP change, uh, workers get some seats from the Tories, the big Tories fall in there, um, what else is there to say?

I guess so, um, what else, what else, what else, oh yeah, Greater Manchester, um, welcome to Alden, which is not Rochdale but it's close enough to Rochdale and it has its fair share of Asian voters and it has its own local problems, now Oldum has been slowly moving away from the Labor Party a few years ago, a local independent group stormed parts of a seat, you know? by sitting down the council union leader and other local bigwigs and they have risen and fallen, they have faded, they have grown and this year they seem to have had a bit more momentum you see. their vote grows in certain WS, you see them really holding on to what they have, but you also see them particularly in central Rochdale, gaining a few more Labor seats with quite dramatic swings, how much of this can we attribute? to the Asian antipathy towards the Labor party now I don't know how much can be said because Alm already has his local problems with the Labor party he already has a local independent group that is doing particularly well and he has simply done well again, does he? how much of that?

Can you attribute it to Israel GA Gaza Palestine? I don't know, but it's fair to say it's nothing, isn't it something else? Oh, look at that one that came out of nowhere. Independent gain of workers up to 56 points from zero. 5 6% of the votes. work at 35 down 23 points there's a bit of a dramatic change there uh what's up with this Ward here Alexandra Ward um work down 29 points up you know from a safe from a safe like 60% now they're at 33% the independent is at 55. What happened there? Was it really just rebellion, you know, against the local council or is there something else because we don't have the results in Rochdale yet?

I will be very interested to see it and when we have them, let's see. um, yeah there's been like, you know, a great Galloway moment, a great Galloway moment, but uh, yeah, um, what else? Oh yes, I wanted to emphasize it here too, so welcome to Bole, which is one of the poorest parts of Liverpool. Ward or Well Church Ward is fine, it has a nice beach, I don't know how else to describe it. I've been there a number of times, but one thing I'm starting to know is that in certain parts of Liverpool, certain parts of urban England that you know, you have a younger population that has a population that wants, you know, very exhausted by housing and the cost of living in general, which, to be honest, we are all exhausted by, we are starting to see the greens make their way into these very formal issues. safe labor areas, previously super safe, look at this ward here, this was Labor 60% in the last election in 2021 now it's 46 47% with the Greens at 50% a bit of a Labor surprise G uh green gain there, uh, what you see? everywhere else though, uh no, what about at Blundel Suns? uh no, you see the lab V really increases there, uh, what's going on here?

Yeah, no, nothing, so in isolated cases you'll see the green ones sprouting up and I just want to emphasize, uh, you know. Likewise here, in isolated cases, you are also seeing Asian communities lashing out at the Labor Party. You're not seeing it across the board, you're not seeing it, you know, sweeping away, changing the entire narrative of the Council, but it exists. is happening, it's just not big enough to change the narrative and the narrative is when I point to Grimsby when I point to Thurk when I point to Plymouth when I point to Reading when I point to Rushmore and other Battleground seats the Labor party is wiping the floor with the conservatives the conservatives are falling 20 points or more um the advantages of the polls that you see on twitter.com are being largely validated by what you are seeing on this map today dramatic changes in the labor sector, but in the local more insurance thepeople are looking to do something else we've become more bubble I guess we've become more happy to do something different in seats where we don't feel like it's cramped I guess let's take, for example, Harley Poool, it's just coming in 2021, let's just go back. to this, let's go back to what it looked like in 2021, heartley pull, you know, an absolute catastrophe for workers, this was one of the elections where I think Kia stama thought about resigning as union leader, but I think it was more the battle and election spending that he, you know, put his uh, you know, you know, but he put his future career anyway, but anyway, Harley racks up sizable conservative victories here in 2021.

I look at it what happens, the workers cleaned up the shop, look at the continued existence of competitive independent Labor Party candidates here. but almost everywhere else, look at that, yeah, dramatic dramatic changes in labor reform, um, that don't come anywhere close, but they do take away a big chunk of conservative support, but I reiterate what I said before, the Conservatives are falling just as much in areas with reform strength as they are in areas without it, so the idea that reform is the only reason you know the Conservatives are losing is impossible, that's not happening, that's not the case, okay, but yeah, some big changes in the work sector, dramatic changes in the work sector at Harley Pool. but Heartley Pool is not the seat you need to win a majority, especially if you are Labour?

You need other seats, you need seats Beyond there, you should go well, you'll probably need Lincoln, probably yes, you'll need Petra, so there's a question mark over petera um, you'll end up needing Reddit, which I think you will, he says that the workers had a good night there, you definitely would have never needed Rushmore, and yet here we are watching the workers blaze a trail at Rushmore in a way that you just do. I wasn't expecting it and you would definitely have needed some advanced system work so however you want to look at it there are lots of ways to do it.Look at it because there are a lot of seats but this is a good night for the Labor Party they are likely to get hundreds of seats , they probably won, you know, more than 200, we don't know the specific number yet, the conservatives are.

We are likely to suffer losses close to 500 seats. It's going to be yes. I published the forecast. My prediction was that the Conservatives would lose 470 seats. It looks like we're going to hit that and probably pass it. Based on early indications, but again, we're only seeing a quarter of the results here, but, yes, quite, quite, some dramatic things, but the takeaway from this is, if you take away one thing here today, it's this : polls are correct, polls are correct once. again and for the last two years the polls that show a 20 point labor advantage, you know, they make a big deal out of it because they're not rubbish, they're actually absolutely right, they're doing it, they're doing it particularly well.

Blackpool South by election um we predict Labor will get 50% and the Conservatives will get 30% and reform to get 13 Labor outperformed Labor by 8 points, the Conservatives underperformed by 12 points, 10 points, I think it was and reform them. I know he beat his by three points or so um that was a surprise that was a surprise because I'll be honest with you. Britain predicts it's not a perfect model, it's definitely had its mistakes before, but that one was pretty off base and was an advantage for Labour. a seat like Blackpool where apathy must be high even though relative to where Blackpool normally sits, the drop wasn't particularly big, you know, it wasn't a dramatic drop in turnout, a dramatic enthusiasm for the drop. , it was simply a fall in line.

With the way it usually happens for most seats, you know, you can't blame apathy for the dramatic falls in support for the Conservatives anymore. something else is happening. you squeeze them out, maybe, maybe, but reform voters when you ask them, the level of antipathy they have towards the Conservative prime minister is quite significant, it's difficult to ask, but the level of antipathy felt towards workers is enormous , like you're talking about enemies, you know? talk, you're talking about absolute hate for the labor brand, for sakir stama, for remona and all that sort of thing right, but yeah, blackpool was very decisive and you can't just blame it on apathy, you're having transfers from the conservatives to the reform and more.

The most important thing is that it should never be underestimated that there are transfers from the Conservatives to Labour, which is leading much of this change in the national composition, uh, the national composition, if you want to call it that, these changes in Rushmore, these changes in Redit, you know there are. In the reform vote there are no reform candidates for these voters to go to, some of them stay at home, yes, but some are also swinging, so, with a quarter of the results in the local elections, you know that the count is still It's missing, but I'm going to sleep for an hour.

The bottom line is that the polls are correct, there are 20 point job advantages seen on Twitter by the pollsters, it's a success and that's it, there will be many more results to come, um. Something to keep in mind, in addition to the positive results, the PCC results, you know, could really dramatize this 20-point lead. We had the result of the PCC elections in Lincolnshire. The Conservatives almost lost Lincolnshire. Lincolnshire with Boston with Brexit Boston almost lost it. by about 9,000 votes, uh, to Labor and they didn't, but the collapse of the Conservative proportion and the relative rise of reform, right?

The mirror image made me think, my God, even in seats in those in which the reformist candidate is not there. there you know, seats like North Yorkshire maybe Labor has a chance because the fall of the Tories is so dramatic maybe even Labor can win in rural areas. I emphasize a rural North Yorkshire that is simply not normal, not normal at all in British politics at the moment. It's not normal, it's not made for parties that lead by 20 percentage points, and yet here we are, so enjoy the results while you can. I guess so, a quarter of the results are already available.

There will be much more to come. You can always keep an eye on the results via britel newstatesman.com has the Ward Byward map. I'll update as the day progresses. I have to say though, I'm going to get some sleep right now because I'm absolutely exhausted. I'm also very sick, but yeah, takeout. This is what the polls see that the 20 point leads are perfect, the Blackpool South result was almost above what you would expect, what the polls actually show, um, so yeah, dramatic changes, dramatic changes of seats are to come, but Anyway, what does that say about Isi Sunak's future?

Tim Montgomery on the BBC said it's time to get rid of it immediately. Another, the Conservative minister who came out to defend him, said: "You know, you've got to stay the course." voters don't like the course so they'll keep punishing you, they won't will they, but they don't want the drama of another PM fight at Westminster, so anyway Liam on Twitter says he should get something . red D Red Bull down that's what I've done I've had coffee I've had I've had more bowls of cereal than I admit actually I don't know why but uh and popcorn isn't healthy but what can you do?

Do it anyway, okay, I'm going to sleep for a few hours. I'll see you later, but thank you so much for watching. Keep an eye on Twitter on maps and elsewhere to see the results. But yeah, thank you very much for watching. and I'll see you later, goodbye