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Russian posturing as Bakhmut slips through Putin's fingers

Mar 09, 2024
Of course, any type of nuclear weapon is a cause for concern and we should take it very seriously, but I think we should recognize that it is not a big surprise that, to some extent, it is potentially in play for some time. An opinion that President Putin could have raised they were there last year, but it wasn't potentially held back to get people talking about the narrative of him at the time he chose. And we know he likes to make a little nuclear saber rattling intermittently just because he knows it's Western style. fears I think most analysts would say that this doesn't change any real calculations, it doesn't fundamentally alter his nuclear ability to reach and use those weapons or increase the likelihood that he will use them.
russian posturing as bakhmut slips through putin s fingers
He is willing to use a tactical nuclear weapon, which is obviously of a lower order than a strategic weapon, but a tactical nuclear weapon can be the size of the weapon used against the Russian war in World War II. Does that potentially mean it can be deployed just as easily? of other territories besides Belarus exactly that, so it doesn't really increase their capability, it increases the range of these weapons, so it's more of a strategic act, possibly it's more about bringing Belarus even deeper into its orbit, so that we should not rule it out, it is significant.
russian posturing as bakhmut slips through putin s fingers

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I understand that this is the first time nuclear weapons have been deployed against Russia since 1990, so it is important as a strategic geopolitical move, but as far as you are concerned, you know the threat of the use of tactical nuclear weapons. in Ukraine it's more of a posture than a substance, yes, it was also reported about Rupert and I know you are a general, not an admiral, but it is reported that the Russians could have super nuclear torpedoes in the Pacific by 2024. Now I admit it. I'm not entirely sure, but a nuclear support super torpedo is, but it sounds pretty scary.
russian posturing as bakhmut slips through putin s fingers
Yes, absolutely any former admiral out there. Uh, what is a super nuclear torpedo in simple terms? It's a really big torpedo. It can travel very fast, making it quite difficult to stop. It goes very deep, which again makes it difficult to stop and has a very long range. about 10,000 kilometers um thousand kilometers ten thousand kilometers and so as I understand it and what does it do instead of eating a typical torpedo which is to some extent fire and forget people describe it as a cross between a torpedo and a subsurface drone, so it is that you can maneuver towards your target, so it's potentially very significant, as I had referred it to the Admirals in this case, um, but it's actually very significant.
russian posturing as bakhmut slips through putin s fingers
I guess I would say one thing, although there's a reason it's being posted in the public domain right now, maybe it's linked to the Chinese visit recently, but you know it's clearly a very, very advanced piece of technology and what Russia, I think, has shown over the last year that it is not. all their technology is that reliable, so it's interesting. I have no doubt that intelligence analysts will be or have been looking at this extensively, but I think there is probably a long way to go, but at this point there was a discussion between strategic and military experts. about the value to Ukraine or indeed to Russia of the bloody battle for Bak mut, which is still going on with a huge cost of life on both sides, but what is your opinion on that?
Yeah, I mean, you know I've always been in the I see that, as you suggest, I mean the mood itself doesn't have a real meaning like a little bit of geography as a city, but it's become very meaningful because now it has a almost mythical status, so no one wants to blink, no one wants to lose that. that battle, but it has also become significant because the Ukrainians are using it to really impose very, very significant casualties on the Russian forces there particularly, we know the Wagner group and many of them know this, you know, the former criminals have been expelled . of prison, but Ukraine is using it to bleed the Russians and of course Ukraine is paying a high price for that, but not as much as the Russians, so I think Ukraine, the Ukrainians, although it seems that they are surrounded In three sides, the general thinking at the moment is that some of the Russians' power has disappeared from the Russian fight at Bat Moot and to some extent it feels like their fighters culminated there, we'll see.
Well, we knew that Russia places no particular meaning or value in the lives of its forces, but do they just take the bait here? So yeah, I mean, it's interesting, right? I mean, I think they've been attracted. to the trap because they used the phrase that they needed a victory, because they know that things were not going exactly the way they wanted on the battlefield and, although President Putin will never give quarter, he will never suggest that he needed a victory, you know, it's pretty clear that They were fighting, you know, every time there was a battle, they were losing and then Bach arguably was their chance to get some face back, get some momentum and they've struggled with it, but they've done that classic Russian Putin thing: double the bet, double the bet, double the bet and hope that you eventually work your way through this one to get a small victory on the back, but those are the Ukrainians.
God, they are resilient, you know they are not going to give that victory to Putin easily. Well, I'm John Peter and if you found that interesting, we're here every day, Monday to Thursday, five to seven. by car and from seven to eight Pina and friend where we discuss the big stories of the day every day on times radio

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