Yogendra Yadav Makes Big Statement Over BJP's '400 Paar' Claim | Lok Sabha Elections 2024 Updates

and Yogendra Yadav, I will give you the first chance since you said the most controversial

statement

on Twitter, you stated that the BJP will be less than 250 and the NDA less than 272, it is this delusion of someone who is seen as a Critic of the Modi government, what is the basis on which you say you think the BJP is lagging behind Raj? Let me start by saying very clearly from the beginning that I am no longer an apologist. It used to be. I am a political worker. Political workers don't have to be liars, they can try to get them and I really try to keep my hopes and my evaluation separate, so what I offer is the evaluation I made after traveling.

I don't have any output pole with which I, uh, it's a travel-based assessment of the terrain, based on listening, reading, speaking, discovering, that's all it is and what I've said is the following when the

elections

I said, I wrote that it is possible to take the BJP below 272, but I was not sure if that was really going to happen because I did not believe that the opposition was doing what was necessary to take the BJP below 272 when the

elections

approached in the first and second round and I started traveling. I saw something. was changing on the ground and then I started saying that maybe BJP is below 272 and after the third round and after my trip and my trip specifically allowed me to put everything back on the table.

I went to Rajasthan Punjab Harana Utar Pradesh Bihar Telangana Karnataka. and chatis gar elsewhere based on what I have heard, what I have spoken to, uh, based on that, my assessment today is that BJP is not only possible, BJP is in fact below 272 as of now, the The way things are going, my assessment is that they are below 272 and for the first time it seemed to me that the NDA could be below 272 uh, from what you have seen on Twitter, the video I posted says it is 268 , but Raj let me be quite clear about this. I don't have any such instrument with me on the basis of which I can say exactly 268 and not 278 not 288 or not 248 no I don't have, these are very broad estimates and all I want to say is that we can be more or less sure now that the BJP is well below 272 and that it is an open question whether even the NDA could form such a large majority.

What I am saying is the idea that the BJP could increase seats from 2019 onwards, mhm, that can be completely ruled out. That is simply not true, okay, in my opinion, BJP cannot retain what it had in 2019, it is going down, how much is it going down? That is something open to debate, we can discuss it. I have one evaluation, others may have a different evaluation. Come to your details later in the show, but Surjit Bala, you took a risk soon after your book was published, you believed that the BJP would be more than 300 and the NDA more than 350, are you still sticking to that after four rounds of the program? battle for

2024

surjit yes, thank you Raj for inviting me, you actually said citizen Raj, that is my old book, this is the new book, how are we doing, my apologies, yes, um, and yes, I am very attached to what the forecast is um, in how we vote. it was made around february, honestly i don't know if anyone read the book and i suggest everyone do, i base it mainly on economic performance and that's how people vote, in fact the last line of my book is Is the economy stupid? um, which as you know comes from none other than Bill Clinton in his 1992 campaign, so looking at the first four phases, obviously, like you and like all election junkies, I'm following it very closely.

I have not seen any. Sign the forecast on the vines now you will have seen many signs to lower it. I haven't seen any signs to lower it and that's why you have MH horse racing because people have different views on events. Continue with the cost and we will all have to wait and see until June 4th which of us is more accurate and I'm waiting to hear what pip has to say, but basically the economy, every sign of the economy every The data that we receive about the economy reinforce that it is actually doing very well, so I'm afraid I don't see much room to lower or change my forecast in any way, it's still 330 to 350 for the BJP. at his house, okay, I will come back to you also for specific details because when you say 330 to 350 that means the BJP is doing even better than the last time and I will ask you to remember to continue where I think they will grow, but Pradep Gupta, you are the only one among us who is doing a survey and I know that due to regulations you cannot reveal the numbers and of course you have a starting post or we have a starting post coming soon. with you on June 1, so we'll keep the suspense for that, but I want to answer that you did a last one after the third round and you said Z and immediately that went viral by saying that Gupta high school says that

2024

is a repeat of 2019.

Can you clarify if Pradep Gupta says 2024 could be a repeat or is it likely to be a repeat of 2019? I want clarity, so Raj let me tell you on Access My India or Pradep Gupta, in fact, what Surjit G said is not. I am supposed to reveal the

statement

, say something as far as numbers are concerned due to ECI guidelines so we will have to wait till the last vote cast till then and even I don't have any kind of numbers, that's me I, let me clarify very frankly. Now the second thing you asked the channel Ashak and Sudhir Chri G asked me some questions and I told him that's just what I said and that's it.

No are you saying B just means there is no big change you are seeing compared to 2019 that's why people say Pradep Gupta is saying BJP still remains in the position po when I say as far as the 2019 numbers, if I say something in these lines in any way, I am saying some kind of number that I am not. I'm not asking you for a number. I'm saying you're saying you're forgetting the numbers until now. I'm not asking you to get into that. I am saying that Pradep Gupta says he is. I don't see any signs of major changes in this country right now that's all I'm asking, yes I'm saying it, so you're saying Pradep Gupta is not seeing any signs of major changes in this country.

I emphasize the word important, nothing to do with numbers. It has nothing to do with numbers, but you're saying you're not seeing any major changes between 2019 and 24 voting trends right right okay, that's the closest Pradep will come to telling us that, therefore, he might as well be Advantage BJP the only one. The reason I say this is my interpretation because remember the BJP got 303 seats last time, the NDA got 353 when Pradep Gupta says there couldn't be any major changes effectively, at least the number one party, no doubt, now again people can even interpret it. major changes with the backhand that is the meaning I know at least when someone says that is something I I I I don't see anything on the ground okay

yogendra

yadav

so you have Pradep Gupta saying there are no major changes now you are you who say In this program, can you tell us an important change?

We've had a fourth round today where the biggest changes that you're seeing are the states that you think this election is changing because you're clearly saying this election has changed uh Raj let us. I begin by expressing my agreement with both panelists in this very civilized conversation that is so rare on number one television. In fact, I completely agree with Dr. Bala, it's economics, stupid. We both agree with this. I think the only difference is that both. What I have is what direction the economy has gone and who exactly is stupid. We have a little difference on that because what I heard Raj when I traveled and you know you can tell me because you've probably traveled a little more than I have when I heard people say you know what's motivating their choices.

The only thing related to the economy that goes in Mr. Modi's favor is that the Russians give him credit for providing cheap and free L Russian supply universally, but if you put pressure on a Modi voter. and say why you are voting for Mr. Modi, you don't really mention anything to do with the economy, to begin with, everyone said that's one thing I hear, the second thing I hear is 370 Kashmir, the third thing What I hear is Ram, now in my mind. These three are not topics related to economics, however, when people talk about economics and that is where I agree with Dr.

Balar, in my opinion the decisive thing is what people feel about economics and at least I hear them talking about mangi. I hear them talking about be roari. I listen to them talk about what is happening in Kissan. I hear them talking about what is happening in exams about real life issues and in most of these they weigh against the BJP. I don't know if most of the voters I met knew much about They probably didn't know, but they knew something about what's happening to their own family, their own economy and what happened, and they were pretty angry about what Mr. .Pradip Gupta.

The reason I agree with him is that I'm also not saying UL is fair in the sense that this is not a 1977 election, you know, this is not an election where, at least at this stage, no I think the BJP is below 200. I don't think the BJP is taking that kind of threshold. no, but in my opinion it is a significant change and the significant change is that BJP there is a significant change against the BJP from Gujarat to Bihar, this whole belt that the BJP had swept and add Karnataka to it too, that may or may not result in a change of seats in different places in Gujarat, the margin is so big that the swing may not affect many seats, but in Rajasthan, especially in eastern Rajasthan, it will affect the seats in Harana, it will affect the seats and in Uttar Pradesh and Bihar too. is affecting a significant number of seats, I mean, my estimate which you very kindly refer to was that BJP could be down 70 seats compared to 2, uh, compared to 2019 and I suspect Raj deeply, you and I remember 2004, I mean, me.

What I'm saying is that I'm taking the liberty of saying it because we were together at that time on a channel working and sharing notes every night and we remember what happened in 2004, every pollster got the numbers and they were there, and pollsters don't get a Accurate information. number, they get a range and each pollster was giving a margin of error by adjusting the margin of error in favor of the BJP in each state, therefore each pollster had an inflated figure for the BJP, even after they had polls, actually something very different happened. I would be surprised if that kind of thing happened, however, I don't expect, you know, India with more than 300 seats, no, that kind of old fair, I don't expect either.