Tucker: Are some of our leaders and the media addicted to doom and gloom?

A couple of weeks ago, on March 25, research from the University of Massachusetts conducted an interesting survey in which they contacted 20 eminent epidemiologists and public health experts and asked them a simple question: how many Americans will die from this outbreak of coronavirus in the future. The average estimate he received was 245,000 people, and it turns out that number matched almost exactly the projection from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington, the group that has created the most influential model of the pandemic, as was heard yesterday.

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authorities cite those figures indeed in public hundreds of thousands will die well that estimate has changed drastically this morning the ihme issued completely new figures its researchers now project 60,000 deaths in this country by August 4, that is, a quarter of the Original projection figures for individual states have also changed in Virginia, for example, which is currently undergoing a lockdown until June.

The model now predicts a total of 891 deaths statewide. Just a week ago, ihme projected 3,073 deaths in Virginia, which is more than three times what they're saying now. At this point we should not be surprised that the model was wrong, the ihme prediction of how many hospital beds we would need turned out to be completely disconnected from reality and that matters a lot because those numbers were the main justification. for this lockdown remember our efforts to flatten the curve, they weren't crazy, there was a good reason for doing it, we didn't want our healthcare system to collapse under an avalanche of new coronavirus patients and so far it hasn't collapsed, but no. because we prepared effectively, in reality we didn't, there were simply far fewer people needing hospital medical treatment than we thought, for example, the model predicted that on April 4 New York would need 65,000 hospital beds, the actual number was 16,000.

Now you're hearing people say that the difference between prediction and reality must be due to social distancing, but that's not true. Social distancing measures were included in the model from the beginning, the prediction turned out to be four times higher than what actually happened, social distancing didn't do that,

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thing else skewed the numbers, we don't know what it is, we should find out at the same time While time has been much more accurate in death totals, in some cases they have been significantly exaggerated. but not by 400 percent, pretty close in many cases today, as we've told you, the ihme announced that around 60,000 Americans will die by the time the virus presumably recedes in the summer heat, that's a lot of people, but it is far from it. the highest number of deaths that we will see this year to have a perspective, we are now going to read you a series of numbers.

Some people may be offended hearing this, but there is no reason to be precise. Statistics are not offensive, they reflect reality and reality should always be the basis from which we make important decisions, even if we ourselves have made other predictions in the past, even if we are ashamed to admit what we now know, We should do it anyway because ego doesn't matter at a time like this, really. It matters, here are some numbers, like we said, it is estimated that 60,000 Americans will die from the coronavirus according to the CDC in 2018 61,000 Americans died from the flu annually that same year more than sixty-seven thousand died from drug overdoses almost fifty thousand died by suicide about 88,000 Americans died from alcohol abuse eighty-three thousand died from diabetes more than 606 thousand died from cancer.

We could go on, but for now let's look at two of those numbers: overdoses and suicides, both of which, by the way, disproportionately kill young people, let's say that the Ihma death projections are too low for the argument and this would be the first time that this happens, but again, just for the sake of this exercise, let's assume that the real number is double, it's one hundred and twenty thousand, that's how many Americans will die. In this outbreak, if that is true, there would still be as many people as are dying from overdoses and suicides. Both

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essentially ignore deaths like that, they are not considered a government problem, but in recent weeks we have not protected ourselves from Wuhan. coronavirus, which is dangerous and scary, we have put approximately 17 million people out of work, we have spent over two trillion dollars in borrowed money and that is only the answer so far, now we are not going to tell you what our

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. what has been done in the last month is disproportionate, you can decide that for yourself, but it is definitely something to think about in the future because, once again, reality matters, even if we are ashamed to admit it, many are political, although they do not seem to be thinking about it head on.

To improve the numbers, in fact, New Jersey Governor Phil Murphy announced that his state would cite Titan rather than relax lockdown restrictions. Statements like that make you wonder what's really going on here: public health is really the only consideration for these people, maybe not, here's Zika. Manuel, who is not only an academic but also a political veteran, explained on MSNBC this morning that the United States must remain in its current state for a year and a half. Now note almost at the same time that Zeke Emanuel said the ihme was reviewing. their total death rate dropped to 60,000.

I think we're going to resort to what we consider normal, the pre-coverage 19 type of situation with just a vaccine or some very effective preventative that everyone can take and that lasts 18 months. and we must make it very, very clear that we are not going to understand that around the corner: you want to give everyone in this country the benefit of the doubt in the middle of a crisis, but honestly you have to ask yourself what motivates people to To say things like what you just heard, if you are sincerely trying to help the country, you would focus on effective medical treatments for this disease, a drug that saved even half of the patients who were heading towards death would change the landscape of im

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tely and forever in a situation like this science.

It's our hope, so you'd think our

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would follow every medical advance at least as closely as we follow the final four, but no, they're doing the opposite: they're ignoring promising treatments in favor of promoting increasingly oppressive social controls. . Why are they doing that in the case of the drug hydroxychloroquine that doctors are giving to thousands of coronavirus patients right now? Doctors who have reporters, rather, who have no scientific basis, tell us that it is unproven and risky, apparently in contrast to everything else we do. We are doing what Fauci says those studies are not scientific and chloroquine, a drug used to treat malaria and lupus, also carries cardiovascular risks, but the president continues to support the drug.

President Trump has asked what you have to lose. Medical experts say your life, what do you have? to lose well, you could potentially lose your life, experts say there is not enough clinical data to show it is effective for coronavirus and some serious side effects continue today to push hydroxychloroquine in a way that is baffling medical professionals Gene Robinson. in the Washington Post the only word that proves why President Trump should not be president what is hydroxychloroquine? These people have no idea what they are talking about and don't care to know that you know exactly what they are doing. launching partisan political attacks and pretending it's medical advice that is always wrong, but right now, in the middle of a pandemic that is reckless and immoral, remember their names.