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Nevada Election Results with CNN's Andrew Yang

Nevada Election Results with CNN's Andrew Yang
let's get some quick thoughts on what we're seeing and Riaan what do you think so far oh well it's projecting to be a really great day for Bernie which I think all of us expected one thing I just want to put out there I'm not sure why we're still using caucuses in some of these early states that they're really bad for turnout I mean you're looking at 3% of

Nevada

ns caucusing in 2016 this time it might be as high as four or five percent in New Hampshire where the
nevada election results with cnn s andrew yang
primary it's much much simpler you had twenty percent plus and so if you're going to be a democracy and you're trying to empower voters why would you make it harder for people to vote in your earliest nominating process I have to co-sign on that I do want to say the problem with the Bernie movement narrative is that he's winning with like 25 26 28 percent and that includes even in the state like New Hampshire that he won cleanly with with over 50 percent last time and you have
the other votes getting split up among four other candidates really to me the action after today is what happens among candidates 2 through 5 right because they're going to have some very very tough conversations and then if the field consolidates the question is what percentage of the vote is Bernie getting I think what's important to recognize though is that what seems to be the case at least looking at these numbers is that Bernie Sanders is also doing well with moderates too so
whereas I feel like that argument was you know could be said for New Hampshire and Iowa we're seeing that he is winning support across moderates and it's less ideological and it's more about who is prioritizing the needs of the work this is the question but people like winners in general people looking up being like you know like I'm starting to warm up to this guy because after you start putting up a bunch of number ones next to your name we're back now with the panel this
notion of if Biden comes in second that gives new life to him is that

Andrew

I mean does that but is that really a real notion yeah it is I mean moderates have been trying to figure out who to try and consolidate behind if Joe puts up a strong second place result here a lot of the donors that have been on the fence could come his way he has relationships with many of them and they've been waiting for him to demonstrate strength to me are one of the big outcomes of today is what happens to
amy klobuchar if she finishes let's say fifth and I'm friends with all these candidates so it's hard to talk like this but if you finished fifth in

Nevada

and you're heading to South Carolina and you're Amy Klobuchar and you're you're not expected to do really well in South Carolina then it starts prompting some really really difficult conversations and that's what many people have been waiting for is for the moderates in the field to start consolidating so if Jo
comes up strong today and let's say a candidate ends up leaving the field in the coming days a lot because if you imagine let's say an Amy Klobuchar are dropping out I don't think those voters are going to Bernie the hard questions the real hard questions that I think

Andrew

s referring to is what is the objective here do the moderates candidate candidates just want to be in the race to prove that they can stand or do they want to be in the race so that they can see a candidate who is
like minded advanced and I think frankly it does not seem like any of them are really thinking in those terms right now and as a result Bernie Sanders is running away with the race and Michael Bloomberg is you know waiting until Super Tuesday where where he's likely to make a big impact I'm gonna give three key variables for a candidate if they're looking at the road ahead number one are they in the next debate number two do they have the money to operate because you're right
Amy's operation is much much smaller than Elizabeth's and number three if you project a contested convention are you going to finish strongly enough to Hoover up delegates in the states which often means something like a 15% plus threshold when I decided to drop it was in part because I looked at these three variables and I said I don't think I can get delegates moving forward if I thought I could get delegates I would still be in the race and I would not be here having this
conversation with you really that is the question for each of the candidates if they think they can be if not the king or queen but the king or queen maker at the convention then they promulgated with Trump in 2016 we had the same conversations like which one of these people is going to drop out in the interest of the greater good but the reality is these politicians except for baby hate one thing I mean I just wanted to ask our ex candidate here we were talking before about the moderates and
said I think what's the do these people talk to each other about what to do next or how they're gonna behave - to Bloomberg or can we could we moderates get together as we were talking about it was foolish the way it works between campaigns is like that you have you have like the candidate to candidate relationship and a lot of the candidates have each other cell phones but we're not in the habit of texting each other being like hey what do you think that's ort of thing yeah so
nevada election results with cnn s andrew yang
most of the communication happens from team to team and politics is incestuous enough such that everyone on every team know someone on someone else's team so if I looked at my team was like hey I want to talk to you know Biden's team but be like oh yeah I know his xxx is like chief of staff isn't that so the question is whether the staffers on different campaigns are having these conversations and then after it reaches a certain level then it graduates up to the candidates typically
and what were the conversations be I guess that's my question I at this point so you do have teams talk to each other and then occasionally someone would say to me like hey FYI Joe wants to call you and I'm like sure and then you schedule that call and you have that convo so I have a feeling that the campaign to campaign communications are already happening and then the question is whether it reaches the candidates do you think they coordinated in advance on the kneecapping a bloomberg
that was just fun - I think that was organic it's spontaneous we may see some more of that on Tuesday with the panel Android do you think that this impacts Bernie Sanders one way or another but Mayor Buda judges Bern they're already fundraising off this notion of of the Russians supporting Sanders or trying to get him elected I don't think anyone believes for a moment that Bernie is somehow courting that kind of help it just speaks to the need that we have to secure our social media
in our

election

infrastructure from Russian interference to want to make a note on these vote totals I'd keep an eye on Pete Buddha judge because this campaign has a knack for getting extra delegates in the rural counties they did it in Iowa to great effect and so since the delegate count is going to be the the final count here I have a feeling that they may over perform the popular vote a bit because that strategy worked for them in Iowa we tried to do the same thing in our my campaign we
did not do it as effectively as Pete's campaign is very very good at maximizing delegate return how do you go about doing that I mean what what's the way what you do is you go to the less trot in paths in rural counties where they have slightly disproportionate delegate output based upon the number of humans you get to show up to the caucuses so what that means in practice is that Pete organized advertised and appeared more in rural parts of

Nevada

that you get better bang for your buck
rather than Vegas and Reno blaming the Washington Post trying to sort of say who the sources were and why this came out the day before the primary and and then as if the Washington Post if it had this story should not have reported it or should have if the source is good but not about it's not about the Washington Post it's about who it's about the story it's genuinely newsworthy I don't know where stires gonna end up or whether he's gonna end up out after this but and
maybe

Andrew

you could talk about that but he has been spending a lot of money in South Carolina and he spent a bunch of money in

Nevada

yeah the thing to look out for is whether Tom gets a qualifying poll tomorrow in South Carolina if he doesn't he'll be on the debate stage the following day and South Carolina is his strongest state if he doesn't get a poll then he won't be on the debate stage and that's going to be a source of great frustration for him in his campaign
because they've been putting a lot of resources into South Carolina in particular is this gonna be a candidate who only plays to his base or it becomes more inclusive now maybe too early because he's trying to win but at a certain point Bernie Sanders is gonna have to do sort of a more of it's

Andrew

how do you see that well first I agree with everything that that you said van this is why I ran and when I went around to Democrats actually no not Democrats working-class Americans
around the country if you have addy next to your name it's like a scarlet letter like they do not think Democrats speak to them and I was talking to truck drivers and waitresses and I was like theoretically aren't you who the Democratic Party should be speaking to and standing up for but they thought that the Democratic Party wanted nothing to do with them and that is to me a real problem with the Democratic Party you have to do some soul-searching if working-class Americans think that
your party is not their party that's why Iran Iran to say look we have to solve these underlying economic issues that have been festering and building up in our communities for years and decades that got Donald Trump elected and to me the Democratic Party never really reckoned with how the heck do you lose to Donald Trump yeah you know and then you just blame everything under the Sun like in the establishment even if you add up you know something that people were doing couple weeks ago which
nevada election results with cnn s andrew yang
is adding up support for all the moderates you still can't catch Bernie Sanders I'm the math guy and you write him by a smidge my question Elizabeth Warren is where actually do you win a primary we've got a very big expensive team and it hasn't paid off at the ballot box and they're all you don't believe them I mean they're all like we exceeded expectations says Amy Klobuchar we had a great night when you lost I have had great nights let's talk to the panel your
interim what do what you think it just kind of running through the the top four or five what did they need to do now I mean what what is Joe I mean Joe Biden clearly thinks South Carolina or is saying that South Carolina he's gonna win well the rest of the field needs to consolidate ideally and each candidate wants to be the last person standing to absorb the non Bernie energy the problem for Bernie is that you know he's unlikely to get a an outright majority of Delegates heading into
the convention which is going to set the stage for the super-delegates to emerge and then you you're looking at a contested convention which is also the dream scenario for all of the other non bernie candidates because they're gonna go in there with delegates the super-delegates let's say are not going to be favorably disposed towards Bernie and then each of the remaining candidates will say like you know I'm the pick so that's the dream that's going to keep every other
candidate in the race but I think what

Andrew

s trying to say is everybody needs to just drop out one or more of them need to figure out probably more in the vicinity of probably two or three I was gonna say Wow who's who's gonna be the one to step back someone needs to pull an

Andrew

yang

I've done the math not how hard is that for candidates to have a conversation with himself or herself and her staff and say okay that's why you have to hire and it's not it's not gonna
it's not gonna happen I think it's gonna get nasty boy you can answer that then well it's tough going in both directions Gloria because you know we were talking about if you have a bad night you get up in front of a crowd and be like it was a great night you know I mean like on some level it does ring hollow it's hard to continue beating that drum so it's hard to drop out but in the cases it's hard to keep girl who should drop out I mean honestly like who who suppose at
this point that you have to make the case to voters that there is an alternative to the guy who's winning right now and nobody has wanted to do that so far I think this was really smart by Pete and he was clearly trying to do around the debate stage earlier this week and it became pile on Bloomberg and meanwhile Bernie was just like sailing out and he did it tonight and I can guarantee you he's gonna do it on Tuesday night because Pete sees that Bernie's the front-runner he's
trying to become the alternative to Bernie and the best way to do that is by saying I am the alternative to Bernie so I think that other candidates should probably follow suit I think Amy don't read too Elizabeth should be trying to contrast anymore I'm a huge admirer of Elizabeth's but I referenced this a little bit earlier on they made a very big bet early on in terms of hiring field organizers not just in the early States but around the country and those organizers are not
something that you can just adjust and recalibrate that that quickly they're not like ad spending and so they have a really fixed overhead that's higher than many of the other campaigns they get these resources in they've been playing it close to the bone in terms of their finances they took out a loan recently that I'm sure they've long since paid back but two vans point it's going to be hard to activate these resources in a way that's going to move the need towards
victory in one of the states that are upcoming hopefully we'll be getting more votes soon back with the panel heroes again we're waiting for senator Elizabeth Warren Henry ng I heard you saying this as dine gallery was reporting this hurts candidate that's hurts the candidate yeah if I'm a candidate I'm really angry I was angry after Iowa and I've tried to be forgiving about you know it's like a technical failure but imagine being a candidate or campaign that spent
months and months of your time thousands of volunteer hours staff blood sweat and tears and then them coming and saying like hey we don't know what happened like it's incredibly frustrating and if you're going to try and propel any of the candidates forward you owe quick

results

to the American people to me the best process would be primaries with rank choice voting and this is something I was talking to Vann about if you had rank choice voting Donald Trump would not be our president
today because he was consistently getting 30% of the vote or so when you say rank choice voting you just mean voting well it's just you vote and then you list let's call it your three top candidates and if it's and then your votes flow to whoever is left standing if your first choice you know isn't contending and so if you had rank choice voting let's say Jeb Bush it like if you were a Jeb Bush border your second choice is probably not Donald Trump it was gonna be someone
else and the same is true on the Democratic side this is actually be a massive process improvement and for people who are concerned about let's say an insurgent coming and running the table with 30% of the vote while you have four other candidates splitting the rest rank-choice voting would help that immensely can we just say this got to be the end of these caucuses I know Harry Reid's Harry Reid will kill me because he created this for

Nevada

and it's important to

Nevada

it's
important a democratic party enough for having three separate sets of answers or

results

yes for one caucus I mean this is crazy it's crazy the Buddha judge campaign in the Biden campaign both claiming second place and everybody's putting out their own numbers that are not verified by the Democratic Party and who knows what the Russians everyone gets to declare themselves a winner and I think what we saw and we all do oh it is Tom Styer crater which you might but you did to me mean if
you look at what happened tonight he was expected to do I mean I don't know that I believe the polls showing him you know there was there were some polls showing him doing really really well but I think people were expecting him to do a little bit better that he's doing now something to watch out for Abbey and this happened to me in Iowa I got five percent of the popular vote and then the graphic showed one percent I was very like are so with with Tom it shows three point seven but he
got eight or nine or the popular it's just the caucus dynamics he was below viability and he got compressed as a result so I think that his numbers in South Carolina may be closer to his polling right now it feels like the most likely scenario is a contested convention in Milwaukee because none of the candidates including Bernie's on track to get a majority and if there's one thing I've learned about Democrats as Democrats really like to follow the rulebook and you saw it at the
end of the last debate where they asked the candidates hey if someone comes in with a plurality what are you doing like I forgot the candidate was like follow the rulebook let let the convention take its course which means the super-delegates will come out they will come out in force probably not for Bernie and then you're going to have this journalistic dream come true of a Knesset or nightmare depending upon where you sit but that strikes me as the most likely scenario because I do not
think other Democrats are going to fall in line just because Bernie ends up with more delegates than any other candidate for the money in our head can we afford it yeah will it cause inflation is it awesome yeah anyone trying to make it happen