Is Bernie Sanders On Track To Win The Democratic Nomination? | The 11th Hour | MSNBC
the corporate elite is getting nervous Donald Trump is getting nervous the Republican establishment is getting nervous the
Democraticestablishment is getting nervous and they're going a little bit nuts how can we stop birdy with just
hours to go now until the Nevada caucuses the contenders out there are spending their time campaigning across the state all that is except for
Sandersspent most of the day in California that is where most delegates are up for grabs on Super Tuesday on March 3rd here to talk about all of it we welcome to the broadcast tonight Lily Adams she is the former communications director for Kamala Harris's presidential campaign former spokesperson for Hillary Clinton now a fellow at Georgetown's McCourt School of Public Policy and back with us again Kareem jean-pierre chief public affairs officer for move on and an alum of both the Obama campaign and the Obama White House both of you thank you for joining us and welcome let me start with you Willie and I want to put a graphic up on the screen here this is the financial picture of these campaigns on the eve of the Nevada caucuses and just a week or so ahead of Super Tuesday you see there Bloomberg 55 million on hand although really he has limitless money and he whatever he wants just go to Eternity there that Bloomberg one but you see the rest there steyr
Sandersand then after
Sanderseverybody else under 10 million there clover char Warren both to three million I was...
looking at some of the ad spending in those Super Tuesday states this week I looked at Virginia and I saw four million dollars worth of ads from Bloomberg on the air and zero from all of the other
Democraticcandidates I wonder is there a story with major implications for Super Tuesday that's being under covered here well I think absolutely I mean people say that we're gonna get to a national primary on Super Tuesday but nearly every single state has some form of early voting except for Virginia and so nearly 40 to 50 percent of the ballots for Super Tuesday are gonna be in by Super Tuesday so not being on the air in these states and seeding the airwaves to Mayor Bloomberg and to senator
Sanderswho have you know substantial war chests obviously one is self-made of his own money but it's a huge disadvantage for campaigns like Senator Warren and Mayor Budaj and Vice President Biden to be completely absent Kurian we were trying to play a little bit of expectation setting there in that last segment at the board for Nevada tomorrow yeah I think it's safe to say the expectation the favorite going into this would be
Berniesay hey Nevada is the legalized gambling capital of the world we could say the morning line favorite in Nevada is probably going to be
SandersI wonder though is there a difference for him when you start talking about trying to get this party to unite behind him is there a difference for him a significant difference between winning this...
thing big tomorrow in Nevada double digits 15 points something like that versus another one of those New Hampshire like victories where it's a you know two three points he's under thirty that talk of the ceiling is still there yeah so it's really interesting because right Nevada is the first state that is diverse we had the the first two states that the Iowa being ninety percent white and New Hampshire being ninety-three percent white here we have a totally different kind of electorate for Democrats and a lot of young Latino voters are excited about
Sanderswhich is incredibly important for him in in the in the turnout for Nevada looking we've had as you laid out we've had a high turnout in early voting seventy-five thousand people have voted already and caucus state actually work really well for
Berniewe saw that in 2016 because he has these these really loyal extremely loyal base and they come out with these caucus type type of caucus contests so I think one of the reasons he's not in Nevada right now is because they probably feel very confident with the early voting with the numbers that we have been seeing where he's at double digits in that in that state going into tomorrow and and because it's a more diverse contest I think he can do much better than he has in the last two contests lilly you heard that clip they're coming into this segment
Sanderstelling that crowd today that the
Democraticestablishment is scared of...
him and scared of his success is that true and if it is is the
Democraticestablishment in position to keep him from getting this
nominationlook I don't think there is some sort of secret
Democraticestablishment meetings going on in some backroom somewhere where we decide as a
Democraticestablishment whether we are afraid or not afraid of
SandersI think if he you know what he wants to do right now is go from being the front-runner to being the prohibitive frontrunner for the
nominationand that starts in Nevada and I think I agree that if he posts a big win there that will have huge implications for the rest of the cycle and I think it will put him in a really good position to close the gap in South Carolina and then going into Super Tuesday and I think if those things happen and this is using a lot of ifs then I do think Democrats will rally around him if he is going to be the prohibitive you know frontrunner for the
nominationbecause the most important thing to Democrats more important than any candidate that they love more important than any candidate they don't really like is beating Donald Trump in November and I do think Democrats will rally around that green this suggestion has been talked about quite a bit this week that there's sort of a pile up behind
Sandersin this race then you've got Bloomberg but then you've got Biden and they're kind of chasing the same voters and oh by the way so is Budaj edge and and so is...
Klobuchar and there's a lot of overlap there and there's not a clear path at this moment for any one of them to get a clear and direct shot at at
Sandersand that because of that
Sandersmight be able to skate by at 30 35 percent in a bunch of different primaries and build an insurmountable delegate lead do you think that's a realistic prospect that it could go that way and do you see a way tomorrow for one of these candidates to get that clear shot at him I think it's gonna be very difficult look there is a battle for that moderate lane and there are many moderates battling for that lane and with the you know with the weakness of Biden unfortunately for his campaign it hasn't helped which is why Bloomberg is in the race look
Sandershas been able to consolidate that progressive Lane we we will see how Warren's fiery performance the other night in a debate which debates have mattered as we saw in New Hampshire with Klobuchar she got a rise and she was able to move up and did really well and raise some money off of her debate the performance we will see what happens with Lauren too does that help her does that help her in South Carolina I've been talking to folks on the ground where there's a buzz about her because of her performance performance on the debate recently and it clearly in Nevada and so now people are watching they're watching ok where are they going to place where's Biden gonna place where's Warren gonna place...
and that's gonna really play into South Carolina and moving forward into the Super Tuesday States hey there I'm Chris Hayes from MSNBC thanks for watching MSNBC on YouTube if you want to keep up to date with the videos we're putting out you can click subscribe just below me or click over on this list to see lots of other great videos